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PICT Hurricane Maria Jose NASA

New England braces for 'above-normal' hurricane season

Will future hurricanes resemble 2017's Jose (top) and Maria? Scientists have new answers. NASA
Kathryn Carley

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(Maine News Service) Forecasters are warning New Englanders to prepare for an "above-normal" number of hurricanes this summer.

Hurricane Beryl was already the strongest Atlantic hurricane on record for both June and July and brought damaging floods to the region last week.

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PICT Hurricane Irma boats FL Keys USFWS

Hurricane Irma resulted in extensive damage in the Florida Keys, such as boats blown onto land. USFWS

Jhordanne Jones, climate scientist for the University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, said a cooling La Nina phase in the Pacific combined with a record warm Atlantic are creating dangerous conditions.

"When you have these very clear signals within the environment, it's clear that we're going to get a highly active hurricane season," Jones pointed out. "We know that from history."

She is referring to the 2020 hurricane season, which generated a record 30 named storms. The National Hurricane Center predicts up to 25 named storms this season, with four to seven major hurricanes by the end of November.

Scientists said most of the global warming attributed to climate change is taking place in the ocean. Sea surface temperatures in the North Atlantic have warmed to record levels since last spring and the Gulf of Maine is considered one of the fastest warming bodies of water on the planet.

Jones noted while hurricanes like Beryl may not take direct hits at New England states, the aftermath can be just as dangerous.

"The most intense storm doesn't always mean the most damage," Jones stressed. "It just needs to be the 'right storm' that dumps a lot of rain right over you and just will not dissipate in time."

Jones added storms can intensify even in unfavorable conditions as long as there is a warm ocean to fuel them and she encouraged people to be prepared.

Remnants of Hurricane Beryl washed away roads last week leaving people stranded in parts of Maine, New Hampshire and Vermont, where two people were killed when their car became submerged in floodwaters.